Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 2.170492 2.487136 2.835953 3.249065 3.725443 4.258103 4.899664
2025-06-22 1.633579 2.044361 2.539872 3.183133 3.998475 5.000613 6.330640
2025-06-29 1.350660 1.793986 2.362668 3.148660 4.211783 5.606804 7.587809
2025-07-06 1.143912 1.594192 2.201263 3.084205 4.343601 6.087395 8.706005
2025-07-13 1.063057 1.545704 2.225684 3.260495 4.808109 7.056610 10.607321
2025-07-20 0.951848 1.436176 2.145276 3.268161 5.019024 7.673340 12.056333
2025-07-27 0.884460 1.380757 2.133614 3.370476 5.375236 8.537308 13.981546
2025-08-03 0.804940 1.295999 2.065265 3.372127 5.566587 9.155743 15.577228
2025-08-10 0.732393 1.213338 1.989546 3.349881 5.710631 9.704864 17.113069
2025-08-17 0.662999 1.127850 1.899144 3.290627 5.780890 10.130125 18.474323
2025-08-24 0.622288 1.086176 1.876874 3.344264 6.050558 10.926404 20.597250
2025-08-31 0.588160 1.052097 1.863470 3.410538 6.347327 11.799134 22.964959
2025-09-07 0.541855 0.996261 1.814208 3.422005 6.575001 12.629446 25.488966
2025-09-14 0.488263 0.922216 1.725753 3.353241 6.648942 13.192621 27.602296
2025-09-21 0.445727 0.863781 1.659088 3.316803 6.778834 13.877796 30.065435
2025-09-28 0.404740 0.803559 1.581859 3.248752 6.833184 14.411562 32.276942
2025-10-05 0.395242 0.804827 1.625781 3.434890 7.446765 16.207502 37.601068
2025-10-12 0.368695 0.768127 1.588296 3.442985 7.672548 17.184468 41.172233
2025-10-19 0.353841 0.754218 1.596441 3.551027 8.135506 18.755995 46.425429
2025-10-26 0.331130 0.720901 1.559392 3.552771 8.352274 19.783011 50.484649
2025-11-02 0.308552 0.685466 1.513865 3.529279 8.505448 20.677104 54.344712
2025-11-09 0.285194 0.645848 1.454814 3.466708 8.554809 21.321386 57.644257
2025-11-16 0.272257 0.628825 1.445559 3.523348 8.909960 22.786690 63.440366